Freddy Bouchet – Probabilistic forecast of extreme heat waves using convolutional neural networks and rare event simulations
Amphi Jaurès (29 Rue d'Ulm)Freddy Bouchet (ENS Lyon) Probabilistic forecast of extreme heat waves using convolutional neural networks and rare event simulations Understanding extreme events and their probability is key for the study of climate change impacts, risk assessment, adaptation, and the protection of living beings. Extreme heatwaves are, and likely will be in the future, among the deadliest weather events. Forecasting their occurrence probability a few days, weeks, or months in advance is a primary challenge for risk assessment and attribution, but also for fundamental studies about processes, dataset and model validation, and […]