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Beyond Uncertainty Sets: Leveraging Optimal Transport to Extend Conformal Predictive Distribution to Multivariate Settings

Salle W

Conformal prediction (CP) constructs uncertainty sets for model outputs with finite-sample coverage guarantees. A candidate output is included in the prediction set if its non-conformity score is not considered extreme relative to the scores observed on a set of calibration examples. However, this procedure is only straightforward when scores are scalar-valued, which has limited CP to real-valued scores or ad-hoc reductions to one dimension. The problem of ordering vectors has been studied via optimal transport (OT), which provides a principled method for defining vector-ranks and multivariate quantile regions, though typically […]

Robin Khanfir – The Brownian tree is the only uniformly self-similar binary tree

Salle W (ENS)

The Brownian tree is the scaling limit of many random tree models for which the square of the diameter is of the order of the number of vertices. In contrast to this universality, proofs of such convergences commonly rely on model-specific methods. To provide a conceptual understanding of the universality of the Brownian tree, we show that it is uniquely characterized by a uniform self-similar decomposition property. This leads to a general proof scheme for convergences to the Brownian tree that does not require the computation of finite-dimensional limit distributions. […]

Céline Lévy-Leduc

ENS — amphi Galois 45 rue d'Ulm, Paris, France

Séminaires des Mathématiques

Vlad Vicol

Jussieu -- salle 15-16-309 4 Place Jussieu, Paris, France

Rémi Coulon

ENS — amphi Galois 45 rue d'Ulm, Paris, France

Séminaires des Mathématiques

Hélène Mathis

Salle W - ENS PSL 45 rue d'Ulm, Paris, France